Betting Lines
| Spread | SAC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +5 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | SAC -6.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -4.2 (-9.2) | 134.3 (-5.3) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -5.0 (-10.0) | 134.3 (-5.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -5.8 (-10.8) | 133.7 (-4.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -4.9 (-9.9) | 135.9 (-6.9) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | PRST 74 – 73 SAC |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRST 96 – 69 SAC |
| Mar 4, 2025 | PRST 59 – 56 SAC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SAC 56 – 53 PRST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SAC 73 – 61 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 6-8 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#292) | -9.7 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#236) | -3.37 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#221) | -4.26 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#191) | 0.350 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 34.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 24.0% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 39.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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