Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +9 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | HARV -8.1 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -8.5 (-0.5) | 144.2 (+28.8) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -7.0 (-2.0) | 146.6 (+26.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -6.5 (-2.5) | 145.9 (+27.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -7.3 (-1.7) | 147.2 (+25.8) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | HARV 81 – 71 COLU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HARV 79 – 54 COLU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HARV 87 – 75 COLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HARV 90 – 82 COLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HARV 80 – 75 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-22 | 13-13 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 5-9 |
| Home | 3-10 | 9-6 |
| Away | 1-12 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L12 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#337) | -1.0 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.67 (#339) | -0.79 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.70 (#341) | -0.78 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.340 (#352) | 0.447 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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