Betting Lines
| Spread | JKST -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +10 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | JKST -9.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JKST -5.0 (+5.0) | 136.0 (-0.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JKST -7.0 (+3.0) | 137.2 (-1.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JKST -6.2 (+3.8) | 135.5 (+0.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JKST -5.7 (+4.3) | 138.8 (-2.8) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | PV 85 – 76 JKST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | JKST 82 – 78 PV |
| Mar 4, 2025 | JKST 88 – 74 PV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | JKST 79 – 70 PV |
| Mar 5, 2024 | JKST 79 – 74 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 6-3 | 5-4 |
| Away | 5-15 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#257) | -10.5 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#288) | -3.34 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#294) | -4.22 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#266) | 0.433 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.4% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 23.9% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 14.2% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 62.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 39.0% |
Game Analysis
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