Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -15.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +12 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -16.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -13.8 (-1.8) | 150.1 (+13.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -13.7 (-1.7) | 151.5 (+12.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -14.5 (-2.5) | 152.0 (+12.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -14.2 (-2.2) | 150.9 (+13.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | IONA 69 – 65 MAN |
| Jan 25, 2026 | IONA 66 – 57 MAN |
| Mar 13, 2025 | IONA 77 – 65 MAN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | IONA 65 – 60 MAN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MAN 76 – 55 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-0 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#62) | -4.7 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#37) | 0.43 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.23 (#35) | -0.06 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#19) | 0.505 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 34.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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