Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +2 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -8.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -7.7 (-5.7) | 141.0 (-1.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -7.7 (-5.7) | 143.3 (-3.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -7.2 (-5.2) | 143.6 (-3.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -7.2 (-5.2) | 142.6 (-2.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | FUR 75 – 70 UTC |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FUR 78 – 67 UTC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FUR 80 – 77 UTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTC 85 – 72 FUR |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTC 75 – 71 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 12-4 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#44) | 4.7 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#57) | 1.06 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#62) | 1.12 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#42) | 0.564 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 15.7% |
Game Analysis
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