Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARK +7 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -16.2 (-23.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -11.3 (-18.3) | 140.7 (-17.7) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -12.1 (-19.1) | 141.8 (-18.8) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -14.2 (-21.2) | 142.3 (-19.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -11.8 (-18.8) | 147.8 (-24.8) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | ARK 91 – 62 LSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | ARK 85 – 81 LSU |
| Feb 13, 2025 | ARK 70 – 58 LSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | LSU 78 – 74 ARK |
| Mar 7, 2024 | ARK 94 – 83 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-2 | 17-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 21.4 (#3) | 9.0 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.23 (#3) | 1.04 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.32 (#3) | 1.64 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.691 (#2) | 0.546 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.4% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.0% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 78.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.