Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -2.0 Push |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -1.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -0.6 (+1.4) | 151.5 (+2.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -0.0 (+2.0) | 150.3 (+3.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -0.2 (+1.8) | 153.3 (+0.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -0.1 (+1.9) | 152.7 (+1.3) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | ALA 100 – 75 MSST |
| Jan 14, 2026 | ALA 97 – 82 MSST |
| Feb 26, 2025 | ALA 111 – 73 MSST |
| Jan 30, 2025 | ALA 88 – 84 MSST |
| Feb 4, 2024 | ALA 99 – 67 MSST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 9.5 (#46) | 14.9 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#74) | 2.53 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#74) | 3.45 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#81) | 0.673 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.