Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
Southeastern Conference · Stegeman Coliseum · January 15, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread VAN -5.0 Away covered
O/U 146.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total UGA win
Actual VAN +7 139 Lost
Massey VAN -5.2 (-1.8) — —
Massey Totals — 140.2 (-1.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 22% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 19% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ VAN -6.0 (-1.0) 142.9 (-3.9) 24% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML VAN -5.7 (-1.3) 141.9 (-2.9) 26% ✓
Baseline ML VAN -5.6 (-1.4) 142.6 (-3.6) 28% ✓
Baseline Plus ML VAN -5.7 (-1.3) 142.1 (-3.1) 25% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 VAN 88 – 80 UGA
Mar 8, 2025 UGA 79 – 68 VAN
Feb 22, 2024 UGA 76 – 64 VAN
Jan 21, 2023 VAN 85 – 82 UGA
Mar 10, 2022 VAN 86 – 51 UGA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UGA VAN
Overall 6-26 19-17
Conference 1-17 7-11
Home 6-13 11-8
Away 0-10 5-8
Neutral 0-3 3-1
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L12 L1
Avg Pts For 69.8 70.8
Avg Pts Against 78.5 67.8
Massey -2.3 (#220) 6.8 (#77)
Bradley-Terry -0.97 (#265) 1.02 (#97)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.08 (#256) 1.11 (#103)
RPI 0.457 (#249) 0.539 (#103)
Shooting & Four Factors UGA VAN
FG% 44.3% 40.9%
3PT% 31.9% 31.4%
REB / G 34.9 35.4
OREB / G 9.5 11.3
AST / TO 1.00 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 48.0%
TOV% 19.9% 18.5%
ORB% 28.2% 31.0%
FT Rate 27.8% 25.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.4% 48.1%
Opp TOV% 15.4% 24.0%
DRB% 72.0% 72.1%
Opp FT Rate 16.4% 21.8%

Game Analysis

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