Betting Lines
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | RICH -130 DAV +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +3 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -1.4 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (+30.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -0.0 (-3.0) | 140.3 (+30.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -2.0 (-1.0) | 143.5 (+27.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -1.3 (-1.7) | 144.2 (+26.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -1.1 (-1.9) | 142.8 (+28.2) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | DAV 65 – 63 RICH |
| Jan 31, 2026 | DAV 79 – 54 RICH |
| Mar 12, 2025 | DAV 69 – 65 RICH |
| Feb 8, 2025 | DAV 71 – 60 RICH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | DAV 72 – 66 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 7-5 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#110) | 9.6 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#106) | 2.72 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#107) | 2.96 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#110) | 0.620 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 41.4% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 57.6% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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