Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +7 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | MRST -12.6 (-19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -7.6 (-14.6) | 134.4 (-7.4) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -8.7 (-15.7) | 135.1 (-8.1) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -9.0 (-16.0) | 134.8 (-7.8) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -8.6 (-15.6) | 133.5 (-6.5) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SIE 67 – 63 MRST |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SIE 69 – 50 MRST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MRST 65 – 64 SIE |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRST 72 – 67 SIE |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRST 67 – 51 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#164) | -8.5 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#199) | -0.84 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#199) | -1.30 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#209) | 0.461 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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