Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -8.9 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -7.1 (-0.9) | 145.1 (-1.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -8.2 (+0.2) | 143.0 (+1.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -7.7 (-0.3) | 141.7 (+2.3) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -8.8 (+0.8) | 143.6 (+0.4) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | OAK 74 – 65 PFW |
| Dec 4, 2025 | OAK 101 – 92 PFW |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PFW 80 – 66 OAK |
| Jan 23, 2025 | OAK 76 – 72 PFW |
| Mar 8, 2024 | OAK 75 – 65 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 12-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#270) | 6.6 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#257) | 2.19 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#271) | 2.73 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#280) | 0.601 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 14.6% |
Game Analysis
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