Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +16 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -17.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -13.3 (+2.7) | 141.8 (+2.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -12.4 (+3.6) | 142.2 (+1.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -13.7 (+2.3) | 140.9 (+3.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -13.2 (+2.8) | 140.4 (+3.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | UIW 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 24, 2026 | AMCC 79 – 71 UIW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 55 UIW |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AMCC 69 – 63 UIW |
| Mar 7, 2024 | AMCC 71 – 52 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 3-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 7-6 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#192) | -14.6 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#140) | -3.00 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#161) | -3.66 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#202) | 0.406 (#315) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 28.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.2% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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