I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Insight Credit Union Arena at Edmunds Center · January 15, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread STET -1.5 Away covered
O/U 138.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total STET win
Actual KENN +28 126 Lost
Massey KENN -0.5 (-27.5)
Massey Totals 135.9 (-9.9)
Bradley-Terry 63%
Weighted B-T 53%
Efficiency Plus ML STET -0.6 (-28.6) 132.7 (-6.7) 50%
Baseline Tuned ML STET -0.8 (-28.8) 137.5 (-11.5) 52%
Baseline ML STET -1.1 (-29.1) 138.3 (-12.3) 51%
Baseline Plus ML STET -0.3 (-28.3) 136.3 (-10.3) 47%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2024 STET 8472 KENN
Jan 11, 2024 KENN 8870 STET
Jan 20, 2023 KENN 8281 STET
Feb 24, 2022 KENN 7571 STET
Feb 13, 2021 KENN 8375 STET

Game Analysis

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