We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Kennesaw State Owls
83 75
FINAL Conference
Stetson Hatters
Atlantic Sun Conference · VyStar Arena · February 13, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread STET -6.5 Home covered
O/U 130.5 Over
Money KENN +260 / STET -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual KENN +8 158 Won
Massey STET -6.0 (+14.0)
Massey Totals 130.5 (+27.5)
Bradley-Terry 3%
Weighted B-T 1%
Efficiency Plus ML STET -5.2 (+13.2) 133.3 (+24.7) 28%
Baseline Tuned ML STET -5.8 (+13.8) 131.8 (+26.2) 25%
Baseline ML STET -5.6 (+13.6) 133.8 (+24.2) 28%
Baseline Plus ML STET -5.6 (+13.6) 132.8 (+25.2) 28%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2024 STET 8472 KENN
Jan 11, 2024 KENN 8870 STET
Jan 20, 2023 KENN 8281 STET
Feb 24, 2022 KENN 7571 STET
Jan 15, 2022 KENN 7749 STET

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN STET
Overall 5-19 12-15
Conference 2-13 7-9
Home 4-9 7-5
Away 0-9 3-8
Neutral 1-1 2-2
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 62.2 69.1
Avg Pts Against 72.7 71.9
Massey -13.6 (#333) -5.0 (#246)
Bradley-Terry -4.65 (#348) -0.61 (#223)
W. Bradley-Terry -5.79 (#346) -0.64 (#212)
RPI 0.376 (#338) 0.470 (#215)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN STET
FG% 38.7% 40.5%
3PT% 28.9% 36.0%
REB / G 31.8 34.1
OREB / G 8.9 9.6
AST / TO 0.66 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.1% 48.5%
TOV% 21.1% 20.0%
ORB% 24.7% 26.6%
FT Rate 19.6% 18.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.4% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 17.7%
DRB% 73.1% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 24.8% 20.3%

Game Analysis

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