Betting Lines
| Spread | STET -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | STET -138 KENN +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +12 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | STET -5.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -4.5 (+7.5) | 158.1 (-2.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -5.0 (+7.0) | 157.0 (-1.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STET -4.8 (+7.2) | 157.5 (-1.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -5.1 (+6.9) | 157.0 (-1.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2024 | KENN 88 – 70 STET |
| Jan 20, 2023 | KENN 82 – 81 STET |
| Feb 24, 2022 | KENN 75 – 71 STET |
| Jan 15, 2022 | KENN 77 – 49 STET |
| Feb 13, 2021 | KENN 83 – 75 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 6-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#218) | -4.8 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#169) | -0.60 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#199) | -0.62 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#158) | 0.454 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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