Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
Kennesaw State Owls
88 – 70
FINAL Conference
Stetson Hatters
Atlantic Sun Conference · VyStar Arena · January 11, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -4.5 Home covered
O/U 158.5 Under
Money KENN -163 / STET +170
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual KENN +18 158 Won
Massey KENN -1.9 (+16.1) — —
Massey Totals — 164.4 (-6.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 65% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 73% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENN -2.8 (+15.2) 155.9 (+2.1) 61% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -1.1 (+16.9) 156.6 (+1.4) 56% ✓
Baseline ML KENN -0.7 (+17.3) 157.2 (+0.8) 51% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KENN -0.7 (+17.3) 154.9 (+3.1) 55% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2024 STET 84 – 72 KENN
Jan 20, 2023 KENN 82 – 81 STET
Feb 24, 2022 KENN 75 – 71 STET
Jan 15, 2022 KENN 77 – 49 STET
Feb 13, 2021 KENN 83 – 75 STET

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN STET
Overall 15-16 22-13
Conference 6-10 11-5
Home 9-5 14-2
Away 4-11 6-10
Neutral 2-0 2-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 81.5 73.8
Avg Pts Against 83.7 75.6
Massey -3.1 (#232) -0.9 (#181)
Bradley-Terry 0.18 (#163) 0.34 (#150)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.10 (#172) -0.05 (#181)
RPI 0.495 (#180) 0.535 (#116)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN STET
FG% 43.5% 44.3%
3PT% 32.3% 36.5%
REB / G 36.9 31.5
OREB / G 12.4 8.8
AST / TO 1.13 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 52.6%
TOV% 16.2% 18.2%
ORB% 29.8% 27.6%
FT Rate 25.1% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.7% 51.1%
Opp TOV% 20.5% 13.8%
DRB% 66.1% 64.9%
Opp FT Rate 31.9% 21.4%

Game Analysis

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