If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Kennesaw State Owls
88 70
FINAL Conference
Stetson Hatters
Atlantic Sun Conference · VyStar Arena · January 11, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -4.5 Home covered
O/U 158.5 Under
Money KENN -163 / STET +170
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual KENN +18 158 Won
Massey KENN -1.9 (+16.1)
Massey Totals 164.4 (-6.4)
Bradley-Terry 65%
Weighted B-T 73%
Efficiency Plus ML KENN -2.8 (+15.2) 155.9 (+2.1) 61%
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -1.1 (+16.9) 156.6 (+1.4) 56%
Baseline ML KENN -0.7 (+17.3) 157.2 (+0.8) 51%
Baseline Plus ML KENN -0.7 (+17.3) 154.9 (+3.1) 55%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2024 STET 8472 KENN
Jan 20, 2023 KENN 8281 STET
Feb 24, 2022 KENN 7571 STET
Jan 15, 2022 KENN 7749 STET
Feb 13, 2021 KENN 8375 STET

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN STET
Overall 15-16 22-13
Conference 6-10 11-5
Home 9-5 14-2
Away 4-11 6-10
Neutral 2-0 2-1
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 81.5 73.8
Avg Pts Against 83.7 75.6
Massey -3.1 (#232) -0.9 (#181)
Bradley-Terry 0.18 (#163) 0.34 (#150)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.10 (#172) -0.05 (#181)
RPI 0.495 (#180) 0.535 (#116)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN STET
FG% 43.5% 44.3%
3PT% 32.3% 36.5%
REB / G 36.9 31.5
OREB / G 12.4 8.8
AST / TO 1.13 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 52.6%
TOV% 16.2% 18.2%
ORB% 29.8% 27.6%
FT Rate 25.1% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.7% 51.1%
Opp TOV% 20.5% 13.8%
DRB% 66.1% 64.9%
Opp FT Rate 31.9% 21.4%

Game Analysis

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