I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
Stetson Hatters
81 82 OT
FINAL Conference
Kennesaw State Owls
Atlantic Sun Conference · Insight Credit Union Arena at Edmunds Center · January 20, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread STET -0.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money STET +100 / KENN +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total STET win
Actual KENN +1 163 Lost
Massey STET -4.7 (-5.7)
Massey Totals 147.5 (+15.5)
Bradley-Terry 59%
Weighted B-T 66%
Efficiency Plus ML STET -1.8 (-2.8) 144.3 (+18.7) 53%
Baseline Tuned ML STET -3.2 (-4.2) 147.9 (+15.1) 68%
Baseline ML STET -3.2 (-4.2) 149.3 (+13.7) 65%
Baseline Plus ML STET -3.0 (-4.0) 146.7 (+16.3) 63%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2024 STET 8472 KENN
Jan 11, 2024 KENN 8870 STET
Feb 24, 2022 KENN 7571 STET
Jan 15, 2022 KENN 7749 STET
Feb 13, 2021 KENN 8375 STET

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STET KENN
Overall 17-14 26-9
Conference 12-6 15-3
Home 9-3 15-1
Away 7-9 10-6
Neutral 1-2 1-2
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 74.9 73.5
Avg Pts Against 75.1 70.9
Massey 0.9 (#157) -0.1 (#172)
Bradley-Terry 0.51 (#128) 0.81 (#98)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.61 (#126) 0.70 (#119)
RPI 0.537 (#109) 0.551 (#93)
Shooting & Four Factors STET KENN
FG% 44.7% 45.5%
3PT% 38.7% 39.5%
REB / G 32.2 33.2
OREB / G 10.1 9.1
AST / TO 1.39 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.5% 52.9%
TOV% 15.3% 18.8%
ORB% 29.9% 26.5%
FT Rate 16.5% 21.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.2% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 20.7%
DRB% 66.3% 74.5%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 26.9%

Game Analysis

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