Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
Stetson Hatters
81 – 82 OT
FINAL Conference
Kennesaw State Owls
Atlantic Sun Conference · Insight Credit Union Arena at Edmunds Center · January 20, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread STET -0.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money STET +100 / KENN +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total STET win
Actual KENN +1 163 Lost
Massey STET -4.7 (-5.7) — —
Massey Totals — 147.5 (+15.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 59% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 66% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ STET -1.8 (-2.8) 144.3 (+18.7) 53% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML STET -3.2 (-4.2) 147.9 (+15.1) 68% ✗
Baseline ML STET -3.2 (-4.2) 149.3 (+13.7) 65% ✗
Baseline Plus ML STET -3.0 (-4.0) 146.7 (+16.3) 63% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2024 STET 84 – 72 KENN
Jan 11, 2024 KENN 88 – 70 STET
Feb 24, 2022 KENN 75 – 71 STET
Jan 15, 2022 KENN 77 – 49 STET
Feb 13, 2021 KENN 83 – 75 STET

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STET KENN
Overall 17-14 26-9
Conference 12-6 15-3
Home 9-3 15-1
Away 7-9 10-6
Neutral 1-2 1-2
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 74.9 73.5
Avg Pts Against 75.1 70.9
Massey 0.9 (#157) -0.1 (#172)
Bradley-Terry 0.51 (#128) 0.81 (#98)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.61 (#126) 0.70 (#119)
RPI 0.537 (#109) 0.551 (#93)
Shooting & Four Factors STET KENN
FG% 44.7% 45.5%
3PT% 38.7% 39.5%
REB / G 32.2 33.2
OREB / G 10.1 9.1
AST / TO 1.39 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.5% 52.9%
TOV% 15.3% 18.8%
ORB% 29.9% 26.5%
FT Rate 16.5% 21.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.2% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 20.7%
DRB% 66.3% 74.5%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 26.9%

Game Analysis

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