Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +8 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | FLA -2.4 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -2.7 (-5.3) | 140.6 (-6.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -0.4 (-7.6) | 140.5 (-6.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -0.5 (-7.5) | 140.7 (-6.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -1.1 (-6.9) | 140.7 (-6.7) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | FLA 76 – 62 SC |
| Jan 29, 2026 | FLA 95 – 48 SC |
| Feb 16, 2025 | FLA 88 – 67 SC |
| Jan 23, 2025 | FLA 70 – 69 SC |
| Mar 2, 2024 | SC 82 – 76 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 13-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#109) | 10.7 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#63) | 1.06 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#93) | 1.56 (#86) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#47) | 0.543 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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