Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +7 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | MORE -7.3 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -7.7 (+0.7) | 137.7 (-2.7) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -8.5 (+1.5) | 141.6 (-6.6) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -7.8 (+0.8) | 141.7 (-6.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -8.3 (+1.3) | 139.0 (-4.0) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TNST 93 – 67 MORE |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MORE 94 – 86 TNST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | TNST 105 – 100 MORE |
| Feb 28, 2025 | TNST 64 – 55 MORE |
| Dec 21, 2024 | MORE 74 – 68 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNST | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 64.4 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#313) | 1.9 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#316) | 1.16 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.54 (#317) | 1.37 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.365 (#344) | 0.541 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNST | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 12.5% |
Game Analysis
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