Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +1 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -0.3 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -1.6 (-0.6) | 151.7 (-6.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -2.1 (-1.1) | 151.8 (-6.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -2.4 (-1.4) | 153.6 (-8.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -2.0 (-1.0) | 154.2 (-9.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | HALL 69 – 64 MARQ |
| Dec 31, 2025 | HALL 79 – 73 MARQ |
| Feb 19, 2025 | MARQ 80 – 56 HALL |
| Jan 22, 2025 | MARQ 76 – 59 HALL |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MARQ 75 – 57 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 11-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#52) | 13.2 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#50) | 2.54 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#47) | 3.38 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#32) | 0.613 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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