Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +13 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -2.9 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -1.1 (-11.9) | 143.8 (+5.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -2.2 (-10.8) | 147.9 (+1.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -2.5 (-10.5) | 147.5 (+1.5) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -2.1 (-10.9) | 145.1 (+3.9) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | MASS 91 – 88 URI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | URI 88 – 82 MASS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 79 URI |
| Jan 13, 2024 | URI 89 – 77 MASS |
| Feb 18, 2023 | MASS 69 – 45 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 65.3 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#171) | 6.6 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#195) | 0.57 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#184) | 1.06 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#184) | 0.557 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.7% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 44.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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