Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAMU +5 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | FAMU -2.4 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -2.3 (-2.7) | 135.9 (+1.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -2.5 (-2.5) | 135.0 (+2.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -2.9 (-2.1) | 134.6 (+2.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -2.3 (-2.7) | 134.4 (+2.6) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | FAMU 71 – 67 UAPB |
| Jan 18, 2025 | FAMU 86 – 76 UAPB |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UAPB 99 – 97 FAMU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | UAPB 67 – 54 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-7 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-17 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -15.6 (#351) | -9.4 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.25 (#347) | -2.73 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.70 (#352) | -3.40 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#321) | 0.372 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 23.5% |
| REB / G | 27.2 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 42.2% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.5% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 63.1% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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