Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +3 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -9.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -5.6 (+2.6) | 140.7 (-9.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -8.0 (+5.0) | 142.4 (-11.4) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -8.2 (+5.2) | 143.1 (-12.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -8.5 (+5.5) | 142.7 (-11.7) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | MIZ 86 – 85 TA&M |
| Feb 8, 2025 | TA&M 67 – 64 MIZ |
| Feb 8, 2024 | TA&M 79 – 60 MIZ |
| Jan 24, 2024 | TA&M 63 – 57 MIZ |
| Feb 18, 2023 | TA&M 69 – 60 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 27-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 16-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#262) | 7.6 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#161) | 2.46 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#168) | 2.99 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#173) | 0.577 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 24.4% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 25.4% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.