Betting Lines
| Spread | MD -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +11 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | MD -7.0 (-18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MD -4.0 (-15.0) | 140.0 (-11.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MD -3.6 (-14.6) | 138.6 (-9.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MD -4.2 (-15.2) | 139.9 (-10.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MD -3.4 (-14.4) | 140.9 (-11.9) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | RUTG 69 – 65 MD |
| Feb 15, 2026 | RUTG 68 – 57 MD |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MD 90 – 81 RUTG |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MD 65 – 51 RUTG |
| Feb 25, 2024 | MD 63 – 46 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MD | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#96) | 2.9 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#111) | 0.66 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#109) | 1.36 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#100) | 0.511 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MD | RUTG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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