Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +7 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | BAY -16.6 (-23.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -14.1 (-21.1) | 141.1 (-26.1) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -14.3 (-21.3) | 143.7 (-28.7) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -15.2 (-22.2) | 143.0 (-28.0) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -15.2 (-22.2) | 144.3 (-29.3) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | BAY 94 – 79 OKST |
| Mar 2, 2025 | BAY 71 – 61 OKST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | BAY 75 – 70 OKST |
| Feb 28, 2023 | BAY 74 – 68 OKST |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BAY 74 – 58 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 8-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 21.3 (#4) | 8.5 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.52 (#1) | 1.26 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.13 (#1) | 1.88 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.648 (#12) | 0.576 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 39.0% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.8% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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