Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Buccaneer Fieldhouse · January 15, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WIN -12.0 Home covered
O/U 153.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total CHSO win
Actual WIN +5 135 Lost
Massey WIN -12.3 (+7.3) — —
Massey Totals — 159.5 (-24.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 9% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 3% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WIN -11.4 (+6.4) 153.1 (-18.1) 15% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WIN -9.9 (+4.9) 156.3 (-21.3) 16% ✓
Baseline ML WIN -10.5 (+5.5) 155.2 (-20.2) 17% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WIN -9.8 (+4.8) 153.5 (-18.5) 17% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 6, 2026 WIN 86 – 81 CHSO
Feb 27, 2026 CHSO 86 – 84 WIN
Jan 7, 2026 WIN 81 – 77 CHSO
Feb 6, 2025 WIN 83 – 65 CHSO
Jan 15, 2025 WIN 102 – 97 CHSO

Game Analysis

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