Gaga googa ga ga googa ga ga goo ga ga "Night of the Thumpasaurus People" - Parliament
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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88–26 on winners spread MAE 9.3 114 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Temple @ Cincinnati +4.5 136.3 70% 69–71 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Campbell +4.4 143.8 68% 49–64 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ VCU +3.9 135.1 67% 64–67 ✓
UMass Lowell @ UAlbany +4.4 143.8 70% 79–71 ✗
Tulane @ UCF +4.7 133.4 69% 49–53 ✓
Merrimack @ Central Connecticut -1.9 133.3 41% 72–52 ✓
Milwaukee @ Wright State +16.6 146.3 90% 81–92 ✓
Oakland @ Robert Morris -0.6 155.2 44% 82–88 ✗
Winthrop @ Radford -3.3 144.7 34% 55–47 ✓
Bellarmine @ North Alabama -4.7 142.2 31% 66–64 ✓
Lipscomb @ Jacksonville -4.2 134.7 32% 60–66 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ UTSA +2.0 148.2 62% 80–84 ✓
Akron @ Miami (OH) -4.1 143.4 32% 83–76 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Bakersfield +8.7 140.1 82% 71–76 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Riverside +3.8 128.0 67% 65–86 ✓
UAB @ Louisiana Tech +2.3 132.9 56% 58–70 ✓
Western Michigan @ Buffalo +14.4 146.1 88% 54–86 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Clemson +4.4 132.8 69% 72–74 ✓
Omaha @ Kansas City +8.6 130.5 80% 52–62 ✓
Denver @ Western Illinois +8.2 154.2 80% 69–75 ✓
Rice @ Western Kentucky +9.0 147.4 82% 71–77 ✓
North Texas @ Southern Miss -8.1 132.9 18% 65–49 ✓
Utah Tech @ Utah Valley +10.5 150.4 85% 72–87 ✓
Little Rock @ Arkansas State -0.4 147.7 42% 62–73 ✗
Illinois @ Nebraska -13.1 146.7 14% 77–72 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Cleveland State +2.7 143.1 66% 89–83 ✗
Florida International @ UTEP +9.7 143.5 83% 59–75 ✓
New Mexico State @ Seattle U +1.0 140.0 54% 72–83 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Hawai'i -3.1 142.0 35% 59–50 ✓
Indiana @ Ohio State +7.2 145.5 78% 59–78 ✓
Wake Forest @ Florida State +10.9 143.1 86% 85–92 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Drake +2.3 137.8 58% 81–54 ✗
Kansas State @ Oklahoma State +15.0 144.9 88% 60–67 ✓
UConn @ Xavier +5.4 136.5 72% 80–72 ✗
UIC @ IU Indianapolis +2.7 140.7 64% 81–88 ✓
The Citadel @ Chattanooga +7.7 155.3 79% 66–70 ✓
Oklahoma @ West Virginia +3.7 146.3 68% 91–90 ✗
Canisius @ Quinnipiac +1.1 138.9 55% 89–70 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Mississippi State +9.0 143.3 81% 72–51 ✗
Auburn @ Kentucky +2.4 148.1 61% 80–82 ✓
Samford @ VMI +4.9 156.4 71% 56–85 ✓
Northeastern @ Towson -4.7 138.6 26% 76–67 ✓
Elon @ Charleston +5.9 134.7 75% 53–71 ✓
Butler @ Georgetown +4.0 132.3 66% 63–78 ✓
TCU @ Texas +11.2 147.2 86% 55–70 ✓
Tennessee @ LSU +0.4 145.7 50% 65–78 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lafayette +3.6 143.8 67% 94–97 ✓
Boston University @ Holy Cross +2.0 142.4 61% 65–82 ✓
Stony Brook @ Vermont +12.3 134.1 87% 78–86 ✓
NJIT @ Hartford +2.1 133.8 64% 67–57 ✗
Boston College @ Syracuse +10.6 149.7 87% 67–75 ✓
Norfolk State @ Morgan State +6.6 153.2 75% 74–69 ✗
Oregon @ Arizona +3.3 144.4 66% 63–61 ✗
Bowling Green @ Toledo +11.3 158.4 86% 88–81 ✗
Western Carolina @ Furman +12.1 146.7 87% 70–88 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Mercer +0.6 141.6 52% 77–74 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Kent State +19.5 142.2 90% 58–80 ✓
Hofstra @ James Madison +3.4 146.8 69% 89–93 ✓
Idaho @ Idaho State +10.8 128.7 86% 58–64 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana State -1.5 151.4 42% 85–69 ✓
Iowa @ Michigan State -4.3 153.1 33% 88–58 ✓
Sacramento State @ California Baptist +1.9 154.5 54% 71–83 ✓
UMass Lowell @ UAlbany +4.6 144.0 70% 69–81 ✓
Fresno State @ Air Force -2.7 128.0 37% 67–64 ✓
Milwaukee @ Wright State +16.4 145.7 90% 82–92 ✓
UT Arlington @ Texas State +6.4 128.5 73% 68–79 ✓
Kansas @ Iowa State -12.8 147.4 14% 64–50 ✓
Georgia @ Alabama +12.2 158.3 87% 82–115 ✓
Saint Louis @ Fordham -14.7 130.3 14% 68–40 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota -8.1 146.7 23% 76–85 ✗
Southern @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -6.0 134.5 26% 73–71 ✓
Arkansas @ Missouri +1.6 151.5 58% 86–81 ✗
Stetson @ Kennesaw State -5.8 131.8 25% 75–83 ✗
Colgate @ Army -4.7 147.3 35% 84–74 ✓
Illinois State @ Southern Illinois +4.5 140.2 70% 80–55 ✗
Duke @ NC State +2.5 149.4 63% 69–53 ✗
UAB @ Louisiana Tech +2.5 131.7 58% 64–69 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Marshall +18.2 144.7 90% 85–96 ✓
Charlotte @ Old Dominion +3.3 132.6 65% 45–64 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UTSA +2.2 149.4 64% 75–86 ✓
Texas Southern @ Grambling -1.9 139.4 41% 75–73 ✓
Wofford @ East Tennessee State +2.4 141.3 64% 49–71 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Davis +6.6 155.9 76% 76–78 ✓
Weber State @ Montana -1.0 143.0 45% 91–82 ✓
Villanova @ Creighton +1.4 148.2 57% 70–86 ✓
Northwestern @ Rutgers +7.8 138.3 79% 50–64 ✓
Manhattan @ Iona +10.7 132.3 87% 77–70 ✗
Fairfield @ Saint Peter's +10.0 129.8 85% 55–50 ✗
McNeese @ Northwestern State +7.3 151.5 77% 66–69 ✓
South Dakota State @ Oral Roberts -2.6 156.0 34% 86–103 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Youngstown State +4.9 150.6 71% 70–72 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Green Bay -0.3 147.6 48% 71–66 ✓
Oakland @ Robert Morris -0.5 155.6 45% 86–81 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Jacksonville State +9.1 143.0 83% 60–80 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Tennessee State -7.0 146.5 23% 93–73 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee Tech -0.1 138.5 46% 67–80 ✗
Morehead State @ Belmont +10.7 142.6 83% 58–73 ✓
North Florida @ Liberty +12.1 136.8 87% 60–80 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Abilene Christian +19.5 135.9 91% 55–83 ✓
South Alabama @ Troy -1.1 134.2 42% 58–51 ✓
Louisiana @ UL Monroe -2.5 136.4 35% 88–72 ✓
North Texas @ Southern Miss -7.9 130.1 18% 68–56 ✓
Alcorn State @ Mississippi Valley State -13.2 145.8 16% 70–56 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Alabama State -6.2 129.3 25% 58–72 ✗
Gonzaga @ San Francisco -12.0 156.4 16% 100–61 ✓
North Carolina @ Virginia +8.1 131.2 79% 48–60 ✓
Bradley @ Missouri State +3.4 135.8 68% 58–80 ✓
Ole Miss @ South Carolina -1.0 138.1 46% 81–74 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Austin Peay +6.6 140.2 78% 63–78 ✓
Lipscomb @ Jacksonville -3.4 134.1 34% 71–69 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Sam Houston +10.7 150.3 87% 57–97 ✓
Arkansas State @ Little Rock +6.6 144.9 76% 67–65 ✗
Lamar @ Houston Christian +3.1 147.0 62% 75–80 ✓
Rice @ Western Kentucky +9.3 148.6 83% 66–89 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.