Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -200 PFW +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +2 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -5.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -4.9 (-2.9) | 150.6 (-8.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -5.5 (-3.5) | 147.5 (-5.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -6.6 (-4.6) | 151.1 (-9.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -4.8 (-2.8) | 151.9 (-9.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | YSU 90 – 61 PFW |
| Jan 8, 2026 | PFW 71 – 69 YSU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | YSU 72 – 67 PFW |
| Feb 12, 2025 | YSU 93 – 71 PFW |
| Jan 5, 2025 | PFW 90 – 81 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 8-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#261) | -9.3 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#249) | -1.63 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#251) | -2.08 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#241) | 0.401 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 50.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 57.9% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 24.8% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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