Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | ORU +175 SDST -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +17 | 189 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -2.4 (+19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (+27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -2.6 (+19.6) | 156.0 (+33.0) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -0.7 (+17.7) | 156.2 (+32.8) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -2.4 (+19.4) | 155.7 (+33.3) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -1.6 (+18.6) | 156.7 (+32.3) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SDST 87 – 69 ORU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SDST 95 – 72 ORU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SDST 77 – 69 ORU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SDST 84 – 70 ORU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SDST 79 – 63 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 16-7 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 9-3 |
| Home | 8-3 | 8-1 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-2 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#182) | 3.9 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#260) | 0.68 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#255) | 0.59 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#158) | 0.546 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 40.5% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.