Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM +170 TXSO -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +2 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -3.2 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -1.9 (-0.1) | 139.4 (+8.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -2.3 (+0.3) | 139.2 (+8.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -2.2 (+0.2) | 139.8 (+8.2) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -2.1 (+0.1) | 139.6 (+8.4) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 79 GRAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GRAM 84 – 67 TXSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TXSO 67 – 60 GRAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | TXSO 71 – 66 GRAM |
| Mar 17, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 66 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-12 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 10-3 |
| Home | 6-4 | 8-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#314) | -4.5 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#257) | -0.05 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#284) | -0.57 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#229) | 0.518 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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