Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | USM +400 UNT -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +12 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -10.1 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -6.9 (-5.1) | 125.0 (-1.0) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -7.9 (-4.1) | 130.1 (-6.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -8.0 (-4.0) | 130.0 (-6.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -7.5 (-4.5) | 128.0 (-4.0) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | UNT 85 – 61 USM |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UNT 63 – 54 USM |
| Feb 13, 2021 | UNT 65 – 49 USM |
Game Analysis
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