Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 120.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +9 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -16.7 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -13.7 (+4.7) | 124.9 (-7.9) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -12.4 (+3.4) | 125.9 (-8.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -14.0 (+5.0) | 127.2 (-10.2) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -13.9 (+4.9) | 126.3 (-9.3) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | UNT 85 – 61 USM |
| Feb 13, 2021 | UNT 68 – 56 USM |
| Feb 13, 2021 | UNT 65 – 49 USM |
Game Analysis
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