Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | USM +350 UNT -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +16 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -10.1 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -6.9 (-9.1) | 126.4 (-12.4) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -8.1 (-7.9) | 132.9 (-18.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -7.4 (-8.6) | 132.9 (-18.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -6.7 (-9.3) | 129.8 (-15.8) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2022 | UNT 85 – 61 USM |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UNT 63 – 54 USM |
| Feb 13, 2021 | UNT 68 – 56 USM |
Game Analysis
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