We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Horizon League · Nutter Center · February 13, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -15.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money WRST -1600 / MILW +1200
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual WRST +10 174 Won
Massey WRST -20.3 (-10.3) — —
Massey Totals — 143.3 (+30.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 96% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -16.4 (-6.4) 145.7 (+28.3) 90% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -15.7 (-5.7) 148.6 (+25.4) 89% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -17.4 (-7.4) 147.0 (+27.0) 89% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -17.7 (-7.7) 146.0 (+28.0) 90% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 WRST 76 – 69 MILW
Jan 1, 2026 WRST 76 – 70 MILW
Feb 15, 2025 MILW 88 – 80 WRST
Jan 23, 2025 MILW 95 – 79 WRST
Jan 21, 2024 WRST 95 – 81 MILW

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST MILW
Overall 18-6 10-12
Conference 16-4 7-10
Home 9-4 4-5
Away 9-2 6-6
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 5-0 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 82.0 75.5
Avg Pts Against 67.4 76.3
Massey 12.3 (#31) -5.5 (#256)
Bradley-Terry 0.86 (#107) -0.97 (#246)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.26 (#99) -1.47 (#263)
RPI 0.558 (#73) 0.433 (#273)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST MILW
FG% 48.6% 43.6%
3PT% 36.1% 31.6%
REB / G 42.8 34.3
OREB / G 11.9 7.6
AST / TO 1.22 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.5% 49.6%
TOV% 18.0% 16.4%
ORB% 34.5% 21.6%
FT Rate 23.2% 26.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.2% 52.1%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 18.8%
DRB% 75.1% 75.2%
Opp FT Rate 14.0% 21.8%

Game Analysis

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