Betting Lines
| Spread | UALB -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UALB -175 UML +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UALB +12 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | UALB -6.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UALB -4.6 (+7.4) | 144.0 (+6.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UALB -3.1 (+8.9) | 140.6 (+9.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UALB -4.7 (+7.3) | 142.8 (+7.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UALB -4.2 (+7.8) | 144.7 (+5.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UML 81 – 76 UALB |
| Feb 8, 2026 | UML 89 – 79 UALB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UML 83 – 71 UALB |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UALB 90 – 88 UML |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UML 73 – 69 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-9 | 11-12 |
| Conference | 6-6 | 7-8 |
| Home | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Away | 2-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#159) | -3.4 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#256) | -1.03 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#240) | -1.12 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#247) | 0.468 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 20.3% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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