Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | UTC -500 CIT +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -7.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.1 (-28.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -7.7 (-3.7) | 155.3 (-19.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -5.8 (-1.8) | 154.2 (-18.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -7.6 (-3.6) | 156.3 (-20.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -6.8 (-2.8) | 154.9 (-18.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CIT 88 – 85 UTC |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UTC 93 – 72 CIT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CIT 78 – 71 UTC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UTC 76 – 75 CIT |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UTC 81 – 68 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-8 | 13-12 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 9-4 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 82.3 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#137) | -3.4 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#98) | -0.10 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#112) | -0.03 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#77) | 0.484 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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