Betting Lines
| Spread | BELL -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UNA +220 BELL -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +2 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | BELL -6.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -4.7 (+2.7) | 142.2 (-12.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -4.2 (+2.2) | 134.9 (-4.9) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -5.6 (+3.6) | 139.5 (-9.5) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -4.6 (+2.6) | 142.7 (-12.7) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | UNA 73 – 68 BELL |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UNA 82 – 73 BELL |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UNA 82 – 66 BELL |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BELL 82 – 70 UNA |
| Jan 12, 2024 | UNA 69 – 53 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNA | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-11 | 14-8 |
| Conference | 7-8 | 10-3 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-4 |
| Away | 3-6 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#291) | 0.1 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#268) | -0.13 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#276) | -0.08 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#276) | 0.489 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNA | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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