Look out honey, 'cause I'm using technology "Search and Destroy" - Iggy and the Stooges
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–16 on winners spread MAE 8.0 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Wagner @ Fairleigh Dickinson +1.2 148.0 60% 95–86 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Cleveland State +2.2 145.1 63% 64–71 ✓
Bellarmine @ North Alabama -4.8 139.5 28% 87–63 ✓
Pacific @ Loyola Marymount +2.8 134.4 66% 76–80 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Bakersfield +8.1 141.4 81% 50–65 ✓
UCLA @ Washington -8.0 144.3 21% 64–61 ✓
USC @ Washington State -6.2 135.3 27% 76–65 ✓
Providence @ DePaul -3.1 138.3 37% 57–47 ✓
Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa +4.2 137.7 69% 70–57 ✗
Nicholls @ SE Louisiana -6.2 145.0 25% 86–84 ✓
Denver @ Western Illinois +8.8 151.3 81% 75–82 ✓
Omaha @ Kansas City +8.5 130.2 80% 47–55 ✓
Utah Tech @ Utah Valley +10.9 151.3 86% 93–89 ✗
Saint Mary's @ Pepperdine +0.6 137.5 52% 58–60 ✓
UT Martin @ Murray State +13.9 137.5 89% 55–84 ✓
Florida International @ UTEP +10.3 142.3 86% 68–77 ✓
Utah @ Stanford +4.4 138.5 67% 66–73 ✓
Colorado @ California -11.0 135.5 16% 62–71 ✗
UNLV @ Boise State +12.6 143.4 87% 59–61 ✓
New Mexico State @ Seattle U +2.9 142.9 60% 65–58 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Hawai'i -4.6 137.0 30% 81–74 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Riverside +5.9 129.1 73% 73–67 ✗
Stony Brook @ Vermont +13.3 136.1 87% 57–61 ✓
Michigan @ Wisconsin +0.8 133.1 52% 67–59 ✗
UCF @ Cincinnati +2.2 135.9 64% 68–69 ✓
Elon @ Charleston +7.9 133.8 78% 66–55 ✗
Northeastern @ Towson -5.2 138.4 26% 57–68 ✗
NJIT @ Hartford +1.9 129.3 59% 61–75 ✓
Norfolk State @ Morgan State +5.4 151.1 73% 68–65 ✗
Tulane @ South Florida +4.2 129.1 67% 62–59 ✗
Hofstra @ James Madison +3.7 149.0 70% 70–74 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Drake -1.1 136.3 43% 50–51 ✗
Sacramento State @ California Baptist +3.0 152.0 62% 70–69 ✗
Marquette @ Seton Hall +8.5 143.0 80% 51–57 ✓
Nebraska @ Penn State +11.2 142.4 86% 62–61 ✗
South Dakota @ North Dakota -5.3 147.2 33% 81–85 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech +4.7 146.0 69% 65–71 ✓
Indiana State @ Evansville -3.0 130.1 37% 76–70 ✓
Bradley @ Missouri State +6.4 135.4 75% 57–72 ✓
Illinois State @ Southern Illinois +2.2 140.5 62% 49–59 ✓
Lafayette @ Loyola Maryland +2.4 148.7 58% 69–88 ✓
Holy Cross @ Boston University +1.9 143.4 59% 68–86 ✓
Fairfield @ Saint Peter's +9.4 127.8 84% 49–66 ✓
South Dakota State @ Oral Roberts +0.6 157.9 53% 95–80 ✗
Colgate @ Army -4.1 148.7 32% 92–83 ✓
Miami @ Notre Dame +10.2 143.6 84% 61–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.