Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UND +250 SDAK -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +4 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -7.1 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -5.3 (+9.3) | 147.2 (+18.8) | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -5.8 (+9.8) | 146.4 (+19.6) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -6.5 (+10.5) | 148.9 (+17.1) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -5.5 (+9.5) | 149.7 (+16.3) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UND 72 – 71 SDAK |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UND 96 – 80 SDAK |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SDAK 92 – 79 UND |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SDAK 102 – 93 UND |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UND 95 – 66 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-17 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 11-4 |
| Home | 5-3 | 7-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#297) | 0.4 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#308) | -0.59 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.60 (#317) | -0.89 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#296) | 0.473 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.