Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | KC -250 OMA +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +8 | 102 | Won |
| Massey | KC -10.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (-26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -8.5 (-0.5) | 130.2 (-28.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -8.4 (-0.4) | 123.4 (-21.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -9.1 (-1.1) | 130.1 (-28.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -8.4 (-0.4) | 129.2 (-27.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | OMA 77 – 60 KC |
| Jan 4, 2026 | KC 73 – 66 OMA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OMA 70 – 61 KC |
| Feb 20, 2025 | OMA 78 – 66 KC |
| Jan 9, 2025 | OMA 77 – 58 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-13 | 5-20 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 3-11 |
| Home | 8-3 | 1-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#207) | -10.7 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#303) | -2.81 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#302) | -3.92 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#289) | 0.407 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.1% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.