Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | BU -333 HC +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +18 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | BU -0.5 (+17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -1.9 (+16.1) | 143.4 (+10.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -2.0 (+16.0) | 144.3 (+9.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -2.0 (+16.0) | 144.5 (+9.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -1.5 (+16.5) | 143.3 (+10.7) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BU 78 – 63 HC |
| Feb 3, 2026 | BU 72 – 64 HC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HC 72 – 52 BU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | BU 69 – 59 HC |
| Mar 2, 2024 | BU 94 – 84 HC |
Game Analysis
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