Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Over |
| Money | UCR -110 UCI -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +6 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -6.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -5.9 (-11.9) | 129.1 (+10.9) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -3.9 (-9.9) | 130.1 (+9.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -5.5 (-11.5) | 129.2 (+10.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -6.3 (-12.3) | 129.7 (+10.3) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UCI 80 – 66 UCR |
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCI 73 – 60 UCR |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UCR 84 – 80 UCI |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UCI 81 – 57 UCR |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UCR 88 – 78 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-8 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 8-4 | 10-4 |
| Home | 5-4 | 10-1 |
| Away | 7-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 64.1 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#85) | 3.2 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#141) | 0.44 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#121) | 0.76 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#182) | 0.527 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 13.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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