Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | WSU +320 USC -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +11 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | USC -8.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -6.2 (-4.8) | 135.3 (+5.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -6.5 (-4.5) | 135.0 (+6.0) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -5.6 (-5.4) | 137.3 (+3.7) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -6.1 (-4.9) | 134.1 (+6.9) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2025 | USC 68 – 61 WSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | WSU 75 – 72 USC |
| Jan 11, 2024 | WSU 72 – 64 USC |
| Feb 3, 2023 | USC 80 – 70 WSU |
| Jan 1, 2023 | WSU 81 – 71 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-13 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-6 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 65.1 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#112) | 15.4 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#86) | 2.59 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#88) | 3.57 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#116) | 0.630 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | USC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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