Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SELA +260 NICH -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +2 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -7.8 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+26.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -6.2 (+4.2) | 145.0 (+25.0) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -4.4 (+2.4) | 146.7 (+23.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -6.3 (+4.3) | 149.7 (+20.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -6.2 (+4.2) | 146.7 (+23.3) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NICH 68 – 60 SELA |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SELA 67 – 61 NICH |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SELA 84 – 81 NICH |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NICH 67 – 64 SELA |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NICH 80 – 54 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-18 | 18-7 |
| Conference | 5-10 | 14-2 |
| Home | 3-4 | 8-1 |
| Away | 4-13 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#329) | -2.0 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#310) | -0.04 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#324) | -0.38 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#279) | 0.492 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.6% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.