Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | WIS +100 MICH +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +8 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -1.8 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -0.8 (-8.8) | 133.1 (-7.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -0.3 (-8.3) | 132.5 (-6.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -2.5 (-10.5) | 134.8 (-8.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -1.2 (-9.2) | 131.8 (-5.8) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | MICH 68 – 65 WIS |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WIS 91 – 88 MICH |
| Mar 16, 2025 | MICH 59 – 53 WIS |
| Dec 4, 2024 | MICH 67 – 64 WIS |
| Feb 8, 2024 | MICH 72 – 68 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 23-5 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-3 |
| Home | 11-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 65.1 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#18) | 19.1 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.61 (#17) | 3.88 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.73 (#11) | 5.04 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#42) | 0.635 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 50.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 57.6% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 43.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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