What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · February 14, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money CBU -150 / SAC +163
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual SAC +1 139 Lost
Massey CBU -2.4 (-3.4)
Massey Totals 155.4 (-16.4)
Bradley-Terry 63%
Weighted B-T 66%
Baseline Plus ML CBU -2.3 (-3.3) 151.4 (-12.4) 55%
Model 4 ML CBU -2.9 (-3.9) 148.6 (-9.6) 53%
Model 3 ML CBU -3.0 (-4.0) 152.0 (-13.0) 62%
Baseline ML CBU -3.5 (-4.5) 153.7 (-14.7) 62%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 21, 2025 CBU 7467 SAC
Feb 13, 2021 CBU 8371 SAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU SAC
Overall 13-10 8-12
Conference 6-6 5-9
Home 11-4 5-3
Away 2-5 3-8
Neutral 0-1 0-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.3 69.8
Avg Pts Against 76.5 73.9
Massey -4.7 (#244) -4.6 (#242)
Bradley-Terry -1.52 (#286) -1.63 (#292)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.85 (#282) -2.04 (#298)
RPI 0.410 (#312) 0.435 (#270)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU SAC
FG% 46.3% 42.3%
3PT% 41.2% 37.1%
REB / G 35.7 31.6
OREB / G 9.5 9.5
AST / TO 1.14 1.10
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.9% 48.3%
TOV% 20.1% 15.7%
ORB% 28.4% 26.7%
FT Rate 27.8% 23.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 16.2% 20.3%
DRB% 73.6% 71.8%
Opp FT Rate 25.9% 24.7%

Game Analysis

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