Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · February 13, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -2.5 Home covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money CBU -138 / SAC +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual CBU +12 154 Won
Massey CBU -0.7 (+11.3)
Massey Totals 156.7 (-2.7)
Bradley-Terry 51%
Weighted B-T 47%
Baseline Plus ML CBU -0.7 (+11.3) 152.8 (+1.2) 48%
Model 4 ML CBU -1.2 (+10.8) 148.7 (+5.3) 43%
Model 3 ML CBU -1.9 (+10.1) 154.5 (-0.5) 54%
Baseline ML CBU -1.7 (+10.3) 155.1 (-1.1) 57%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 21, 2025 CBU 7467 SAC
Feb 14, 2021 SAC 7069 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU SAC
Overall 13-10 8-12
Conference 6-6 5-9
Home 11-4 5-3
Away 2-5 3-8
Neutral 0-1 0-1
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.3 69.8
Avg Pts Against 76.5 73.9
Massey -5.4 (#255) -3.5 (#222)
Bradley-Terry -1.68 (#297) -1.26 (#267)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.07 (#299) -1.46 (#262)
RPI 0.395 (#325) 0.439 (#263)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU SAC
FG% 46.0% 42.1%
3PT% 40.5% 37.4%
REB / G 35.7 31.8
OREB / G 9.7 9.8
AST / TO 1.09 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.4% 48.4%
TOV% 20.4% 15.9%
ORB% 28.6% 27.4%
FT Rate 28.2% 22.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 16.4% 20.7%
DRB% 73.1% 71.5%
Opp FT Rate 25.6% 24.9%

Game Analysis

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