Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | CLE -125 DETM +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +7 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -1.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -2.2 (+4.8) | 145.1 (-10.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -1.9 (+5.1) | 142.8 (-7.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -1.1 (+5.9) | 146.1 (-11.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -1.6 (+5.4) | 146.5 (-11.5) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | DETM 94 – 84 CLE |
| Dec 6, 2025 | DETM 71 – 59 CLE |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CLE 73 – 65 DETM |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CLE 65 – 50 DETM |
| Feb 2, 2024 | CLE 77 – 65 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 12-10 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 10-6 |
| Home | 9-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#195) | -0.9 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#119) | -0.27 (#191) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#143) | -0.21 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#51) | 0.498 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 39.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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