You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
Charleston Cougars
55 – 66
FINAL Conference
Elon Phoenix
Coastal Athletic Association · TD Arena · February 14, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread COFC -7.5 Away covered
O/U 129.5 Under
Money COFC -333 / ELON +320
Model Predictions
Spread Total COFC win
Actual ELON +11 121 Lost
Massey COFC -9.0 (-20.0) — —
Massey Totals — 132.0 (-11.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 82% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 87% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML COFC -7.9 (-18.9) 133.8 (-12.8) 78% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COFC -6.9 (-17.9) 131.5 (-10.5) 72% ✗
Baseline Plus ML COFC -7.9 (-18.9) 132.8 (-11.8) 74% ✗
Baseline ML COFC -7.6 (-18.6) 132.7 (-11.7) 74% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 COFC 80 – 70 ELON
Dec 31, 2025 COFC 85 – 81 ELON
Feb 8, 2025 COFC 88 – 83 ELON
Jan 26, 2025 COFC 76 – 62 ELON
Jan 12, 2024 COFC 80 – 62 ELON

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COFC ELON
Overall 9-10 10-9
Conference 6-4 4-7
Home 8-6 4-2
Away 1-3 4-6
Neutral 0-1 2-1
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 68.0 64.8
Avg Pts Against 69.8 65.7
Massey -3.5 (#223) -9.9 (#308)
Bradley-Terry -0.58 (#213) -1.68 (#297)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.81 (#218) -2.25 (#303)
RPI 0.435 (#274) 0.412 (#309)
Shooting & Four Factors COFC ELON
FG% 43.8% 37.3%
3PT% 38.5% 30.7%
REB / G 32.7 32.8
OREB / G 8.3 7.7
AST / TO 0.93 0.73
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.4% 44.2%
TOV% 17.0% 19.9%
ORB% 24.5% 21.4%
FT Rate 20.0% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 17.2%
DRB% 74.1% 75.1%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 29.3%

Game Analysis

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