Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -275 VAL +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAL +13 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -5.0 (-18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -4.2 (-17.2) | 137.7 (-10.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -3.2 (-16.2) | 136.7 (-9.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -3.7 (-16.7) | 138.3 (-11.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -4.0 (-17.0) | 137.1 (-10.1) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | VAL 54 – 44 UNI |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UNI 58 – 48 VAL |
| Mar 8, 2025 | VAL 64 – 63 UNI |
| Jan 4, 2025 | VAL 80 – 73 UNI |
| Feb 28, 2024 | UNI 68 – 54 VAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-5 | 6-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#189) | -4.0 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#218) | -1.01 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#206) | -1.19 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#164) | 0.435 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | VAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 20.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.